We have just entered 2020. What events are going to happen in 2020, and what are the major predications for 2020?
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We have just entered 2020. What events are going to happen in 2020, and what are the major predications for 2020?
The US election
There will be around dozens of elections to take place across the world this year. Mr Donald Trump will be likely to win.
2020 Olympics Games
This time the Olympics Games will be held in Tokyo, starting from 24th July until 9th August. Around 11,000 athletes from around 200 nations will compete in 33 sports in the 2020 Summer Olympics. The Paralympics will then start from 25th August 2020 to 6th September 2020. It is expected that the US would win most of the medals, followed by China, Japan and the UK.
Brexit
The UK is set to leave the EU on 31st January 2020. However, Brexit is a process, where the leave date will mark the starting rounds of detailed negotiations between the UK and the EU on various issues.
5G
5G will likely to be commercially offered by various network providers in major countries.
Autonomous technology and AI
We will see more trials of autonomous cars on the roads. We will see wider adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) commercially to improve business operations.
Trade Wars
We will see more negotiation rounds between the US and China. Trump is likely to visit Beijing in 2020 to discuss the trade with his Chinese counterpart.
Oil Prices
Oil prices remained almost steady in 2019, though it is likely to have more supply cuts and increase in prices.
Geopolitical instability
Political instability will stay in 2020. More protest is expected this year particularly in Hong Kong, India, Kashmir, Chile, Iran, Lebanon, and Iraq. Brexit will also trigger more protest in the UK. The situation in the Middle East will remain volatile, while the resurgence of ISIS in Iraq is quite likely.
Environment
Countries which agreed to cut carbon emission under Paris climate agreement in 2015 will meet in Glasgow in November 2020 to assess the current and future strategy. More environmental protests will happen around the world.
Mars 2020 Mission
NASA will launch unmanned rover mission on 17th July 2020 which will land in Jezero crater on Mars on 18th February 2021. It is expected that the Mars 2020 Mission would answer critical questions about the potential for life on Mars.
The geopolitical weaponisation of data flows
An all too often overlooked risk is data risk, especially as businesses do not yet clearly understand the role data flows play in our globalised economies.
I expand on that issue here: https://www.forbes.com/sites/chiararustici/2019/12/21/10-no-deal-brexit-lessons-on-the-geopolitics-of-data-flows-for-2020/